Friday, October 23, 2009

Football Spread Picks Week 7


So I'm taking a break from watching every episode of Breakfast at Sulimays to put together a winning lottery ticket for all you out there.  I jumped over 10 percentile points in the last two weeks, so like cheese I just get better with age.  I almost made a 50% correct week with getting 6 out of 13 matchups correct.  This looks like a week where people can make a lot of money, just be careful of developing flaming dick syndrome from your excitement (seen above)

Green Bay (-7.5) over CLEVELAND - Brady Quinn misses out on his 10 million dollar bonus by not playing a snap in this game.  The biggest question in Cleveland is who is their third string quarterback, he may be the only hope left in that franchise.

San Diego (-4.5) over KANSAS CITY - After watching SD on MNF last week, they have all the pieces to put together a run, LDT looks like he is slowly but surely getting his act back together.  They just ran into a hot Denver team.  Kansas City looks like another team with little hope left.

San Fran ( +3.5) over HOUSTON - I have backed the Texans too many times before and gotten burned.  I think a healthy Frank Gore, coming back from the bye week, will be able to carry this team to a first round play off loss.

Indy (-13.5) over St. Louis - This line makes me nervous because I think that Manning will not play much in the 2nd half.  I haven't seen a team give up so badly in a long time as the Rams have.  Where did the parity go NFL?

DA BURGGG (-4.5) over Minnesota - After nobody noticed when the big burger dropped over 400 yards last week, everybody is going to notice when Brett Farve starts going back to his old ways throwing picks and blaming everybody but himself.  It is definitely going ot be a statement game for the Steelers and a reality check for the Vikings.

TAMPA BAY (+14.5) over New England - London game: no idea of crowd or field conditions, but apparently Tom Brady proved last week that it doesn't matter.  Patriots win, just not by more than two touchdowns.

Buffalo (+7.5) over CAROLINA - Did I black out for a week where Vegas decided that the Panthers deserved to be favored, lets not even talk about more than a touchdown.

CINCINNATI (-1.5) over Chicago - Tough call, just two average teams, went with home team.

Atlanta (+3.5) over DALLAS - Does the new stadium really make that big a swing in the spread?  Dallas has not done a thing this whole season to impress me.  Just because they get all the hype by being "America's Team," the oddsmakers show them love. (so they can steal their money)

NYJ (-6.5) over Oakland - Oakland gave me the biggest shock of the season by beating Philly, but not enough for me to back them the next week.  Especially with an angry Jets defense going against JaMarcus Russell, who doesn't even complete 40% on his passes.  The Sanchize did not surprise me throwing all those picks, you knew it was going to come eventually, just not against a Bills team.

MIAMI (+6.5) over New Orleans - Yes, the Saints put up the most impressive game of the seasons and are without question the best team in football, buttt I really think the Dolphins can surprise people.  I did not believe in the Wildcat initially, but after seeing the last few Dolphins game, it is hard to stop Ronnie Brown and a rejuvenated and weed-free Ricky Williams. The AFC East is actually turning into good division again with NE, NYJ, and Miami all legitimate playoff contenders

Arizona (+7.5) over NYG - The Giants are embarrassed.  The Cardinals want to prove the Super Bowl run wasn't a fluke. This game is closer than a touchdown.

Philly (+7.5) over WASHINGTON - The Redskins are that bad.

BEST BETS OF WEEK : The Jets and the Bills.  My best bets are improving, just wait, its been 4 in a row for those of you counting out there. (6-7 all time)




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