This is first post from the new residence in West Springfield, MA. Lots of errands and yardwork to get done when you live in the suburbs. I know I missed putting up the picks last week, but I went 7 for 13 last week and 10 for 13 the week before. As I predicted a few weeks ago, I get better with age, I have jumped above the 50th percentile into the 53.9th. And like a big rig with no brakes going down a big hill, there is no runoff lane and no signs of stopping.
ATLANTA (-10.5) over Washington - Falcons need to prove they still deserve to be in the elite of the NFC and beating the Redskins doesn't really prove much unless you embarrass them, lets make it happen Matt Ryan.
Arizona (+3.5) over CHICAGO - Cutler just whines, he can't even win over a very shaky Cardinal team. Also, with the Cards starting a RB named Beanie, you either gotta love or hate him, there is no middle ground.
BALTIMORE (-2.5) over Cincinnati - I don't think the Bengals record reflects their talent, even with a healthy Palmer, Ochocinco, and Benson. Baltimore is by far the best team flying a little below the radar.
Houston (9.5) over INDY - The Colts struggled last week but pulled off the win, I think this week will be a repeat performance, they have a few injuries. I'm just hoping its not a statement game saying last week was a fluke.
Miami (+10.5) over NE - I'm scared of the Wildcat, I'm not gonna lie. With two talented backs and the extra blocker, ten points is way too much to give.
TAMPA BAY (+10.5) over Green Bay - Everybody wants to be the wild card
Kansas City (+6.5) over JACKSONVILLE - When did Jacksonville deserve to be a touchdown favorite over a fellow bad team? Plus, I think with LJ gone, KC will be coming out playing with something to prove.
Detroit (+10.5) over SEATTLE - Two bad teams means a close game and at least 7 turnovers.
NEW ORLEANS (+14.5) over Carolina - Does Jack Deholme retired after this game?
NYG (+3.5) over San Diego - Can't trust SD yet, still don't think they are firing at all cylinders, the same argument can be made for the Giants though. Gotta go with the home team.
SF (+4.5) over Tennessee - San Francisco has a lot of positive energy, a new QB, a healthy Frank Gore, and hope. First time that's been in 49er land since Steve Young.
PHILLY (-3.5) over Dallas - The Eagles have to give some sort of hope to the fans of Philly. We also have Roy Williams channeling his inner T.O. this week.
Da Burg (-3.5) over DENVER - The Broncos flaws are further exposed every week from now til the playoffs.
BEST BETS - Miami & San Fran (Overall 8-7)
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