Friday, November 20, 2009
Football Spread Picks Week 11
I almost didn't put up my weeks this week after such an abbhorent week 10. I went 3 of 14 to drop to around 55%, which is still a little above where Vegas wants me to be. But after finding the old woman pictured above, I could not help myself. I gave purpose to my life.
Miami (+3.5) over CAROLINA - I know a day late, but that doesn't mean a buck short, I almost made up for all my mistakes last weekend in one game.
Cleveland (+3.5) over DETROIT - When was the last time the Lions were favored in a game? The Lions have had top 5 draft choices the last ten years and they still can't manage a win over Brady Quinn Medicine Woman.
San Fran (+6.5) over GREEN BAY - The Packers win over the Cowboys did not convince me of anything, other than the only good player in Dallas is Miles Austin. Neither of these teams make the playoffs.
Pittsburgh (-9.5) over KANSAS CITY - The Chiefs have a lot to improve on, and that's not going to happen against Steel City. The Chiefs have lost LJ and Bowe the last two weeks, this franchise is a mess. I feel bad for Cassell, but his bank account doesn't.
DALLAS (-11.5) over Washington - I still think the Redskins are the worst team in the NFL and the top 5 college teams could beat them.
NYG (-6.5) over Atlanta - What happened to the Falcons of last year? What happened to the Giants of the last two years? I think the G-Men still got it and Matty Ice was a one year wonder ala Joey Harrington.
TAMPA BAY (+11.5) over New Orleans - The Saints are the 2nd best team in the league right now (behind Indy) but I think they are going to have trouble against the Bucs and will only win by 10 points.
Buffalo (+8.5) over JACKSONVILLE - For some reason after seeing the Bills play the Patriots in week one I always think they have a chance to break out and become a decent football team, and it has cost me every week yet I continue to back them. This is the reason why Vegas makes money, people are stubborn.
Indy (+0.5) over Baltimore - How can you ever count the Colts out of a game after last week? I know these teams always go at it hard and the Ravens are at home, but you're not showing Peyton Manning much respect with this line. I would have guessed it would have been -1.5 Colts.
MINNESOTA (-11.5) over Seattle - Minnesota defense and running back are best in game right now. Their WR are also in the running for that distinction, lets not talk about their QB.
Arizona (-8.5) over ST.LOUIS - I have never liked Kurt Warner since his days bagging groceries, but the guy somehow knows how to win even at this advance age with less than half the tools that the traitor (BF) has.
San Diego (-2.5) over DENVER - Surprised the line is not higher for the only fact that Kyle Orton is hurt. Chris Simms gave the game away last week and now owes me a chunk of change, you can't trust a man like that. (LDT needs to get act together to ruin fantasy lives right now)
Cincinnati (-9.5) over OAKLAND - All it took was the Bungals to beat the Steelers to get respect from Vegas.
NYJ (+10.5) over NEW ENGLAND - I know these are both teams going different directions. I know one coach cried at his press conference and the other admitted his mistake. But I also know these teams always play each other close.
CHICAGO (+3.5) over Philly - I can't figure either of these teams out from week to week so I try to stay away from them.
HOUSTON (-4.5) over Tennessee - Ever seen Vince Young tried to kill himself, it has been hard for me to put faith in his as a QB of a professional franchise.
BEST BETS - After my absolute sure things last week backfired due to injury and stupidity, I like the Dolphins, Jets, and the Chargers. (All Time 10-10)
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