Friday, January 8, 2010

Football Spread Picks Year End Wrap up


Hello everybody, I'm back!  You may want to call me "Three Fourths" next year because after starting off really weak, I finished up like a true contender does.  I ended up getting 76.3% of my bets against the spread for the year correct.  Yes, of course that looks all fine and dandy, but does it make me any smarter for the playoffs.  The short answer: NO.  The lines are always so small and games so unpredictable based on the last twenty years of data which I have scoured through to find some sort of edge, and I have realized that is none. But, if you want to know who I would go for, if I was a playoff betting man, here they are.

NYJ (+2.5) over CINCINNATI - I know its not good to base judgment on the last game of the regular season, but I felt that both teams were playing hard for the first two series of the game.  Rex Ryan, the biggest asshole in the game of football, does have some clever defensive schemes.  I love these coaches/owners that go out on a limb and say crazy things, such as Ozzie Guillen and Mark Cuban, but Rex Ryan is not clever, sharp or anything.  I hope Coors Light comes out with a new commercial specifically for this game.  If you want more evidence on why the Bungles will lose, just look to Hard Knocks.

Philly (+4) over DALLAS - The Cowboys are hot, but Romo is Romo.  Could this be Vick's Redeption?

Green Bay (+1) over ARIZONA - The Cardinals are hurt and do not have enough fight in them after making their improbable run last year.

Am I too ballsy to take the three road teams?  I stay away from the Patriots games in the playoffs because it is too conflicting to comprehend.

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