Friday, September 25, 2009

Football Spread Picks Week 3




Here we are entering week 3 of the regular season.  Has not been a super crazy season so far, Detroit still hasn't won any games and my picks still aren't working out.  Last week was an improvement to 8 out of 16 games, rising me into the 30th percentile according to ESPN dot com.  If you think about it, if you bet against each one of my picks you would make more money, so bet your spaghetti boxes accordingly. On to the goodies. All spreads are from the time I places my bets, they may have moved from there.  And all you Z Filers out there, realize I love you so much that I am holding out watching my Thursday night television trifecta of Parks & Recreation, The Office and Always Sunny to give you something to read on your Friday afternoon workday.

Pittsburgh (-4.5) over CINCINNATI :  DA BURG was just playing with all you last week, they still got it and Carson Palmer doesn't

DETROIT (+6.5) over Washington : This is the classic case of two of the worst teams in the league going head to head.  The law of averages (which is the worst logic ever to use gamblign) is telling me that Detroit will finally win a game.

Green Bay (-6.5) over ST LOUIS : I don't trust this bet at all or Aaron Rodgers.

San Francisco (+7.5) over MINNESOTA : I think the 49ers are actually pretty good. Plus, for the only time this team the Peterson factor may be equalized by Gore.  The Vikings are the most difficult gambling team of all time, first you have Favre who you know is going to throw picks, second it's just so hard to bet again a team with Peterson on it.

Atlanta (+4.5) over NEW ENGLAND : Let me just say this, I think the Falcons are better team overall

TENNESSEE (+2.5) over Jets : Okay, I'll admit, the Jets have a very very good defense, I am skeptical about their offense still.  They never make Sanchez take any risks, but then again neither did Bill Belicheck when Tom Brady was coming up.  This is a must win for the Titans, easy game to pick.

Kansas City (+9.5) over PHILLY : The Chiefs are not a playoff team, but I think they can hang with good teams.  Its unbelievable to me that Philly has 4 proven to semi-proven quarterbacks on one team.  In this instance, I think it works against them.

TAMPA BAY (+7.5) over Giants : The Giants did not impress me last week against the Cowboys.

BALTIMORE (-13.5) over Cleveland : So hard to bet with such a big spread, it always tells me to go against it, but I think the Ravens are that good and the Browns are that bad, especially with Myloplex Quinn at QB.

HOUSTON (-2.5) over Jacksonville : The Texans are at home, simple as that.

Chicago (-1.5) over SEATTLE : Do not trust Seattle without Hasselbeck.  Thinking about it, I don't really trust Cutler either.

New Orleans (-5.5) over Buffalo : The coming out party for Buffalo is going to have to wait another week.  The Saints offensive explosion is too impressive.

Denver (+1.5) over OAKLAND : The Raiders have shown 0 reason why they should be favored, even if by so little.

Miami (+5.5) over SAN DIEGO : The Dolphins did impressive me on Monday Night against the Colts.  I think they will finally be able to make a 3rd down stop this week.

Indy (+1.5) over ARIZONA : Everybody in America knew that Peyton Manning was going to lead his team to the winning touchdown on Monday night.  Is anybody willing to bet against him this week?

Carolina (+9.5) over DALLAS : Every week I keep thinking the Panthers are not as bad as they have been playing. I think this is the week they actually prove it.  The new funhouse in Dallas goes another week without a win.

BEST BETS : The Titans no questions (overall 2-4)

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